Stephen O'Neal Commentaries, 01 through 31 July, 2022


25 July, 2022

Development of the Ecological E.L.E.


  The latest global alert session with Dane [1] contains an announcement regarding recent data on the status of oceanic plankton.  For several years, Dane has reported an approximately seventy percent loss of oceanic plankton relative to the mid twentieth century, along with other indications of accelerating ocean morbidity.  The recent study [from Edinburgh, as I recall] indicates a ninety percent plankton loss in Atlantic plankton, with a prognosis of collapse of the oceanic biosphere on the order of several years.  This is also in keeping with the ongoing solar radiometric measurements showing a hardening of the ultraviolet spectrum into the UVC and x-ray ranges, with increasing precision for the time=frame in which the sterilizing effect will overcome biologic capacity to accommodate the radiation burden - notably including the loss of crop growing capacity, along with general loss of solvency of the biosphere, by about 2025. 

   This information is now unambiguously within the scope of an extinction level event, with a time frame on the order of only several years.  In contrast to the traditional notion of an E.L.E. in which the defining event is a sharp discontinuity such as an asteroid strike, the current situation is a differentiable [i.e. smooth] set of physical functions that are more subtly approaching critical bifurcations within the strange attractors that govern the many feedback mechanisms of the biosphere and geophysical-astrophysical relationships.  As such, the series of point-of-no-return conditions are masked by the stochastic nature of the ecology, allowing a deceptive momentum of perturbed normalcy to sustain "normalcy bias," and practical indifference among the general populace.  Some points of no return have already passed, but given the current advanced state of depletion of plankton, the chain of life ultimately connected with it, and further indications of accelerated planetary thermodynamic instability, all precedents of socioeconomic norms, as well as geopolitical developments, will quickly be overshadowed by the developments of the E.L.E.  

   It is encouraging to finally see an acknowledgement of Dane's work on Armstrong's site [2].  As I have discussed on numerous occasions, the cyclic benchmarks of SOCRATES would benefit by an alternative introduction of a boundary condition related to the geophysical discontinuity of the E.L.E. shock front.  If the ecological indications continue to confirm the E.L.E., then the waves describing a transition of power from the West to China in the 2030's will likely be preempted by total sociopolitical collapse, and vestigial residuals of world order and commerce, if they even will exist at all.  More substantial analysis of this process is critical.  Planetary ecological resilience is always an argument, but at best any transition will be a violent re-calibration of our existence, and will reset the algorithms.  Like the phenomenon of quantum tunneling, the wave functions restricted by a potential well [or a one-sided boundary on a temporal axis], will generally decompose to exponential expressions - in this case the decay of the socioeconomic waves, until a new equilibrium strange attractor basis for our biosphere is established.  The expectation is a hugely volatile transition, and the range of new states includes those in which life cannot exist for a very long time.  In 2018 I brought forth the proposition of the "nuclear winter" discontinuity as a possible philosophy to force a point of no return for the "Venus syndrome" condition as suggested by the Kennett study [see Clathrate Gun hypothesis].  The logic was that survival of a fraction of mankind and biosphere from a marginally produced nuclear winter effect would be preferable to total and permanent annihilation from a lethal planetary thermal spike.  Behind this logic, however, was the implicit doubt that such a program would be sufficiently accurate to be reliable, and  more importantly, that the only truly viable solution is to cease and desist all geo-engineering and climate weaponization immediately, as Dane has insisted upon all along.  Best to face the music now.  The nuclear winter scenario therefore arguably falls into the pattern of typical allopathic solutions that the modern world employs, which is arguably now futile and condemned with lethal side effects as are its medicines.  The recent discussions of the nuclear winter remedy, and certainly the preposterous patent employing nuclear explosives for weather control [see announcements by Wigington, ca July 9 or 16], seem to fall quite predictably upon the table.     

   The geopolitical equation continues to maintain control on general populaces based upon traditional psychological operations, and upon obfuscations such as the "climate change" meme, while the informed few prepare their redoubts and convert equities ahead of an unprecedented avalanche.  Even the interest rate maneuvers by the Fed are suspiciously positioned to exhaust and ultimately starve emerging nations through exacerbation of their debt, but also to include the bulk of Europe and ultimately America, as they are necessarily expendable under current eugenics.  Prostration of food facilities, fertilizer and pressure dome drought are consistent with this perspective.  Ironically, the removal of Russia from SWIFT was probably the greatest favor the West could ever proffer to Russia, as it is now actively engaged in the business of self-reliance and civil defense.  Russia will end up with the gas and also Ukrainian grain, if all comes to war, which China will be more than happy to trade for.  The same advise of self reliance applies to every individual and tribal group, with the cosmopolitan exception that there is an urgent need for a new kind of leadership of humanity that can salvage what is left of our ability to act conscientiously and genuinely in novel harmony with  -

    a]  Each other, and

    b]  Nature        

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[1]

[2]



3 July, 2022


The Coming Fire

   Hunter's interview with Armstrong on 2 July 2022 [1] covers the essential factors and timeline for economic shifts, civil unrest and world conflict.  The time frame for major world war and nuclear conflict remains on the SOCRATES charts as peaking 2024 onward, with accelerating civil unrest in America and the world in general in 2023.  One important indicator will be the mechanics of the November U.S. elections.  In particular, Armstrong expressed the concern that Biden will be handed an order to issue a presidential edict to generally legalize immigrant voting just before the election, and on too short a notice for any practical sanction to be executed against it.  This would likely ignite a refractory period of civil unrest, possibly leading to civil war. In the same vein, the breakup of the Eurozone and the U.S. will become much more likely during this period [2023].  Considerable investment is being made to sabotage the Trump/populist sociological momentum through the standard mechanics of dirty politics and yellow journalism.  These traditional methods will continue to work to some extent until organic changes in our socioeconomic reality reach breakpoints, principally defined by sufficiently high energy and food prices, and the resulting infarction of general economic conditions.    

   Armstrong's models show continuity through the late 2030's onward, although a significant reduction in world population through that period.  Given that these predictions are based upon the cyclic factors, it is necessary to add the ecological components that indicate severe consequences in the mid 2020's, also coincident with the timeline for general world war.  As discussed previously, this is where I believe that the SOCRATES model will either bifurcate or become unreliable.    More development of the ecological data is very important in order to estimate this effect.  Nuclear war, even limited, and ultraviolet and thermal instabilities will easily cripple the majority of global food production, along with downward pressure already being seen with fertilizer shortages.  Breakdown and famine will then quickly follow.  The Skousen hypothesis has indicated for more than a decade that there exists a global strategy to induce a limited nuclear attack on America by Russia and China as part of an ultimate move by the supranational power structure to utilize U.N. authority to establish a new global order, presumably with the employment of the coercion of advanced weapons and a notion of socioeconomic authority.  Armstrong's analysis is uncomfortably consistent with such a philosophy, as the London/Brussels/Washington complex is pushing policies precisely in line with such an ultimate result.  Where the Armstrong perspective differs is that the complex is not so much necessarily backed by advanced weapons and custodial capacity as much as it is driven by delusions of regime change to be forced upon Russia [and ultimately China] based apparently upon the success of such covert processes in smaller nations, and also through the use of weather westernization.  Given that the state of geo-engineering is now clearly a disaster at the root of the ecological infarction, requiring the introduction of a major perturbation to the climactic strange attractor [2], it is difficult to have material confidence in the strategy of this power structure as an intervening intellectual advancement that can justify the utterly insane etiology, never mind morality, of its current path.  The prospect that geo-engineering is to be directly used for planetary aerosol-based genocide [see polymers, graphene carrying agents,] ultimately far more effective than the current Lockstep vaccine program, or to produce a nuclear winter effect to arrest the Clathrate Gun, remains debatable, but certainly are increasingly indicated, both technically and from the perspective that global power is approaching a crescendo of desperation and insanity, for which there are ample precedents, except perhaps for the new totality of effects .  .


   The general resiliency of mankind's affairs have traditionally provided surprising recovery from major world events, most notably the second world war, but these are, in the final analysis, based upon substantial borrowing from natural resources by Western economies at the expense of the emerging nation, and from the planet itself.  In one perspective, the Great Reset is a demolition of the Western standard of living, but completely unrealistic on essentially every principle of socioeconomic fundamentals, as well as common sense.  The Reset is arguably an ivory tower illusion similar to the impracticable idealism of Marxism, and certainly the concept of destroying Russia, as is being expressed in London, is not only impractical, but is likely to unleash a prophetic catastrophe..


   Ten dollar gasoline in America is highly likely according to Armstrong, although there is discussion in Washington to delay the rise until after the election [Armstrong].  Fuel is already this expensive in Europe, but it is also worth noting that Europe's  transportation system and culture is far more dense and well developed than in America, and a similar price range here would be economically devastating, on top of already morbid trends   Dividing one's equities and income by two, three or four will become a necessary exercise for any realistic purview of one's affairs from next year onward, never mind the effects of unprecedented civil violence, supply chain collapse and then the glide path to nuclear conflict and global ecological realities.


   Even local commodity production and autonomy and off-grid capability just scrape the surface of conditions that will prevent supply of maintenance and other critical commodities, never mind the difficulties of growing food and maintaining a physical environment as planetary conditions become clearly more hostile to most species of animals and plants.  In contrast to Armstrong's population reduction figures in the late thirties, we can recall Nenner's results indicating a one third reduction in global population due to major war - a full decade sooner.  We also have Celente's long standing mantra - "when all else fails, they take us to war."
 

   I believe, as expressed before, that even the best existing socioeconomic wave models are subject to discontinuities as the geophysical factors amplify the nonlinear dynamics of global food production and the current geopolitical developments.  Even under the best of prognoses, only those who have successfully developed remote cooperatives and homesteads stand a chance for any notion of quality of life, and this must be weighed against the ecological data as it becomes more definitive.   So far, however, there is to my knowledge no integrated analysis of this full spectrum of considerations in the alternative press and its technical resources.  There remains, though, an increasingly clear set of reasons why the elite have built elaborate underground redoubts, and quite obviously their integrated information is proprietary, and not for consumption by the masses of "useless eaters."  Without an epic rise of enlightened leadership on a global scale, virulently departing from the current geopolitical power structures and their belief systems, there is a strong argument that only the remoteness and resourcefulness of Qumran will offer any prospect of a meaningful survival, if indeed survival itself remains feasible.  Unfortunately, human nature and affairs is defined principally by Pompeian events, in which the vast majority, and its comfortable consensus of complacency, become ossified by high heat. 


   Do we intend to continue neglecting the potential of inspiration and free will, and allow human nature to face the coming epic fire so rigid and fated?
 

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[1]
https://usawatchdog.com/prepare-for-war-higher-energy-prices-significant-civil-unrest-martin-armstrong/

[2]
It is worth noting that the current Stratospheric Aerosol Injection process suffers from the effect of long  term warming of the biosphere, despite temporary reflective increase of solar isolation albedo, but there is evidence that sudden large scale introduction of a large inventory of particulates will produce a precipitous effect of massive cooling, without the feedback effect of infrared trapping seen with the current applications.  This is the basis of the nuclear winter effect, first considered in the 1970's.  [see the documentary, "On The Eight Day."  Only a very small percentage of current nuclear arsenals can produce the effect, and arguably within a range of residual fallout background radiation that is in principle survivable.]



01 July, 2022

Paroxysms in the Timing for Major War


   Watchdog interviewed PCR yesterday [1], with significant  considerations for a more rapid escalation of war.  The standing analysis from Armstrong has indicated some escalation of war issues in 2023, but with the major global conflict peaking post-24.  The most pertinent question therefore is whether there is either an advancement in the timing of the peak, or else intervening factors.  Another dimension of the argument is the role of non-cyclic factors, in which timing of events does not conform exactly to the model.  This is rarely addressed by Armstrong, and is, other than his arguably limited scope of ecological analysis, the only criticism I have of Armstrong's projections.  Analytically, the rationale of non-cyclic events is based upon the mapping of external boundary conditions into a cyclic process, that either terminates the wave properties or modifies them.  The highly successful pedigree of predictions from the SOCRATES model does raise eyebrows, as the predictions are remarkably refractory.  A question remains, however, whether mankind has simply not yet experienced until now a design-basis failure such as the current array of extinction level events that far outweigh the traditional geophysical [and solar]  cyclic processes.  The metaphor is the concept of a Swiss watch, quite accurate until a hammer is taken to it, or perhaps a swim.  More generally, there is the role of human free will and other paroxysmal non-linearities that introduce discontinuities into a process defined by wave mechanics.  Divine intervention, for example, falls into this category, as well as the rise of unusual leaders, and then the astrophysical and geophysical events.  The most relevant  discontinuity is the present ecological shock front associated with planetary hydrology and thermal balance, under exceptional perturbation from its natural trends due to seven decades of weather manipulation for economic and military purposes, added on top of two centuries of industrial bloom.  An ultimate general question then arises about the interaction between free will and determinism. Clearly, no conscious system can be entirely cyclic without losing the very definition of will and purpose.  The affairs of the physical world are dominated by degenerate cyclic processes, from atomic orbital's all the way to socioeconomic dynamics and brain wave properties, but ultimately there are non-determinate bifurcations that generate analytically unpredictable states.  Stressors and strange attractors in chaotic systems illustrate this process, as well as sudden and major changes of state - the paroxysms - whether from the nuances of second-order differential catastrophe theory or from the greater realm of a spiritual domain, rendering their small, still voice into the open boundaries of the physical dynamics.  In a sense, the question becomes whether or not mankind is ready to make the transition from the existential materialism of the current technocratic mindset, to a more inspired spiritual and intuitive direction of purpose that is more spontaneous than cyclic.  Perhaps this is much of the departure from the bonds of the flesh to those of the spirit that Jesus, and all who are more of spirit, are speaking of.        

   An intriguing calculation might arise in the considerations for advise that may be offered to Putin.  There is an interesting argument  that can be made that it will be to Russia's advantage to delay any major military response, if that should remain reasonably possible, until 2024.  Skousen's analysis in 2010 indicating that it would be mid-decade before technological advancements would be sufficient may also still apply, adding an important dimension to the strategic assumptions.  The difference is, however, now only a year or two.   Roberts makes a cogent point that Russia's position has been weakened by lack of positive response to Western encroachment over the last eight years, and the perception that the Kremlin is not adequately unified.  The time frame to blockade western Ukraine has now arguably passed, leaving the question of when it is strategically and philosophically best to assert decisive power in the conflict.  Bad timing might only feed pretext into Western policy and their philosophy of actually generating war to cloak their ongoing economic infarction.  It appears better to let the self-inflicted economic wounds of current Western policies fester until the social unrest peak [2023] reaches its peak and takes its toll.  Only after that, should the nuclear submarines be spun up on the American coasts, if it all comes to that.  There is also the argument that a paroxysm could occur in the mentality of the American and European populaces, initiating the take-down of current war policies, and offering the possibility of priorities based upon the value of peace and cooperation.  It should also be considered that, in view of the timing of the thermal and ultraviolet crises and their direct implication for global famine, that both the Russian strategic picture as well as the greater interests of world populations, will find benefit from any delaying of the nuclear conflict long enough for the natural failure of the Great Reset, and the increasing obviation of a need for a new way of conducting world affairs, will destroy the current Davos-neocon prejudices in Western policy.    .

   It is certainly time once again to cast down the tables of the money-changers, and with them the sterile, cynical, materialism and tetanus of a political malignancy that ironically calls itself a New Order.  Interestingly, Armstrong's code results indicate that failure is already inevitable - but at what cost, if it is simply allowed, in its own time, to fall upon us?  Perhaps Putin might benefit from discretionary timing, but our time is now urgent to make the regime changes not in Russia and China, but everywhere West, that we might be able to cooperate as real people solving real problems in this burning house.  Unfortunately, the election process, if it can even ever be legitimate again, is nonetheless much to sluggish a maneuver for the current battle.

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[1] https://usawatchdog.com/paul-craig-roberts-nuke-war-coming-mysterious-deaths-dont-stop-dems-cant-win/